Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032287 0.035230 0.038186 0.041371 0.044700 0.048071 0.051738
2026-02-01 0.026981 0.031308 0.035796 0.040774 0.046120 0.051667 0.057837
2026-02-08 0.023232 0.028536 0.034201 0.040644 0.047719 0.055204 0.063677
2026-02-15 0.020962 0.027081 0.033781 0.041564 0.050264 0.059611 0.070332
2026-02-22 0.019181 0.025962 0.033558 0.042546 0.052748 0.063846 0.076716
2026-03-01 0.017379 0.024641 0.032958 0.042971 0.054498 0.067183 0.082034
2026-03-08 0.015919 0.023588 0.032557 0.043524 0.056310 0.070520 0.087295
2026-03-15 0.014873 0.022943 0.032559 0.044479 0.058526 0.074268 0.092980
2026-03-22 0.012990 0.021115 0.031031 0.043533 0.058458 0.075352 0.095595
2026-03-29 0.011890 0.020206 0.030555 0.043785 0.059741 0.077945 0.099893
2026-04-05 0.011071 0.019601 0.030410 0.044397 0.061418 0.080967 0.104661
2026-04-12 0.009977 0.018548 0.029639 0.044191 0.062079 0.082774 0.108005
2026-04-19 0.008366 0.016701 0.027814 0.042677 0.061196 0.082833 0.109411
2026-04-26 0.007273 0.015508 0.026786 0.042121 0.061448 0.084215 0.112358
2026-05-03 0.006444 0.014634 0.026135 0.042011 0.062223 0.086203 0.116005
2026-05-10 0.006043 0.014384 0.026314 0.042958 0.064300 0.089744 0.121483
2026-05-17 0.005694 0.014187 0.026547 0.043963 0.066440 0.093359 0.127051
2026-05-24 0.005203 0.013713 0.026363 0.044398 0.067851 0.096085 0.131559
2026-05-31 0.004791 0.013334 0.026290 0.044963 0.069414 0.098987 0.136272
2026-06-07 0.004523 0.013181 0.026529 0.045936 0.071489 0.102512 0.141729
2026-06-14 0.003782 0.012107 0.025366 0.044972 0.071061 0.102954 0.143477
2026-06-21 0.003405 0.011659 0.025110 0.045229 0.072186 0.105293 0.147497
2026-06-28 0.003140 0.011402 0.025128 0.045852 0.073779 0.108204 0.152204